Only one disturbance in the tropics, continuing unusually quiet hurricane season peak

We’re in the peak of hurricane season, but overall activity remains slow. 

There is currently just one disturbance being watched by the National Hurricane Center for possible development over the next seven days. They give a low-pressure trough a 40% chance of forming late this week as it moves west-northwest in the subtropical Atlantic. 

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A much different scene was playing out on this date in 2020, when two hurricanes, two tropical storms and three areas of disturbance were all active in the Atlantic Basin. 

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We’ve seen five named storms so far this season. But the hurricane-free stretch continues, as September 12 marked the longest period without the first hurricane of a season on record. There are no signs of that changing anytime soon, as El Niño continues to cause a lot of wind shear over the main development region of the tropical Atlantic. 

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