By admin 
RALEIGH, N.C. (WNCN) — The last of the preseason hurricane forecasts has come in ahead of this year’s season. Most of the forecasts are for a near-average season, with only one forecasting an above-average season.
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NOAA said there’s a 55% chance of a below-average season, a 35% chance of a near-average season, and a 10% chance of an above-average season. Overall, they are going with numbers slightly below the average, calling for 8-14 named storms, including 3-6 hurricanes and 1-3 major hurricanes.
The common theme with the forecast is the development of a strong or very strong El Niño. This will increase shear across the Atlantic and reduce the number of storms that form.
The best chance for a storm to form might come in the early season close to the U.S. off existing boundaries. Cold fronts in the early season (June/July), as well as the late season (September/October), are places that storms can form.
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This year, we will likely see a pattern that favors the subtropics vs. the main development region in the Atlantic. This often results in storms that stay out over the Atlantic vs. threatening the U.S. mainland.
Hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and runs through Nov. 30. The CBS 17 Storm Team will work throughout the season to keep you and your family informed and prepared for whatever comes our way.